Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 30, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Brent Thill
analystJason, welcome. Jason has been at the company since 2006. Zach and I worked together at Microsoft or worked with him at Microsoft when he was there for many years and even with the company for now 7 years. So anyway, thanks, gentlemen, for being here.
Jason Conley
executiveOur pleasure.
Brent Thill
analystMaybe I think everyone, the kind of the big picture, maybe just start with 2024 top riders for you, how that changes versus last year and we'll kick off there?
Jason Conley
executiveNo, that's great. Well, I appreciate the invite this year. So our second year here. So it's been great. So for us, we're pretty consistent year-to-year, to your point, in terms of volatility, like we've had a consistent strategy for the last 20 years -- almost 20 years that I've been here. Today, we sit at $7 billion of revenue, as you mentioned, 40% EBITDA margin, 30 -- north of 30% free cash flow margin. So we're sort of rule of 40, when you think about it from a free cash flow perspective since that captures the capital deployment piece of it. And we have many ways to grow. We have 2 ways to grow, which is organic growth. And we do that through owning great businesses in defensible niches, and we're the market leader in those businesses. We've been improving the organic growth over time. We can talk about that, and then also just M&A. And I think for us, it's -- we have a very consistent and sustainable and repeatable process that I think software investors are starting to now appreciate. It's been well known in the industrial space for a long time in terms of a compounding model, but it's -- we're bringing that to the software world. And then -- so for us, like kind of what's -- what are our priorities this year. We've talked a little bit about different deal archetypes that we're looking at, so capturing a little bit more value out of our M&A and that's through buying businesses that have some sort of margin upside potential, or call it profit upside, to think of a business that's maybe 75% gross margin, 15% EBITDA margin and has some areas that we can optimize from a cost perspective. And then probably more so, businesses that are a little earlier in their life cycle that we're calling maturing that we're calling maturing leaders. So think of it as not -- the businesses we've bought in the last 5 years, which have maybe been through more turns of private equity, a little bit more optimized. But maybe they're -- like I said earlier in their life cycle, the SAM and TAM hasn't yet converged. So there's still more white space to get after. And Procare that we just acquired is a perfect example of that where 40% of the market is un-vended and there's multiple opportunities for growth for us to capture. So we've been super busy on that. The other part of M&A that we've been busy on is on bolt-ons. So if you look at Roper for the last 20 years, about 10% of our capital has been deployed to bolt-ons. It's actually been a lot more than that over the last 9 to 12 months. We've done -- it's been about half of our $3.7 billion we've deployed. We'd love to get that up to, say, 1/4 or 1/3 of our capital deployed in the future. And we're sort of -- we're backing it up. We've made some significant investments. We continue to make that in people. So we've added on -- they'll start in the third -- quarter 3, investment partners that are coming from the asset management world that will help us really think about, from our platform businesses, how do we increase the organic growth first of all. So there's the organic piece and then the inorganic piece. Where do we have a strategic right to win from an adjacency standpoint and then how do we help cultivate and reach back into the market more proactively to then target and then ultimately acquire more bolt-ons. Again, through the lens of, obviously, they are good value creation opportunities. We usually get some cost synergies, but ultimately, to increase the organic growth for those platform businesses.
Brent Thill
analystAnd when you say bolt-on, what's your what's your characterization of a bolt-on?
Jason Conley
executiveSo we have 28 businesses today that are platforms and almost all of them now are turned on, for lack of a better word, for M&A, business that would be turned off right now is our Strata business because we just acquired Syntellis last year when -- it's basically a merger of equal, so they're digesting that. But it would be something that is in the same -- sort of in the same market, in the same sort of vector and has probably just some similar synergies to a bolt-on -- or to a platform that we own today. So it would be tucked in, fully integrated to one of our existing 28 businesses.
Brent Thill
analystIs there a size of deal that you would -- could be a few million to...
Jason Conley
executiveExactly. I mean we've done one of the smallest -- last year, we did one that was $14 million and Syntellis was whatever it was, $1.6 billion, something like in that range.
Brent Thill
analystThat doesn't sound like a bolt-on.
Jason Conley
executiveIt was a merger of equals.
Brent Thill
analystGot it. Okay. The bolt-on is like a wide range...
Jason Conley
executiveIt's a very wide range.
Brent Thill
analystA wide range of deal volume.
Jason Conley
executiveCorrect.
Brent Thill
analystOkay. Got it. Okay. Cool. I just want to make sure I get it correct. So the elephant in the room, and this is my number 1 question again, on Roper, which is like I can't believe I don't know the story yet, and they're excited after they learn it. But then they say, well, they go -- M&A is coming, you're a little bit behind. We got high rates. We've had at least until recently, valuations going higher, maybe now we're going lower, maybe it's a better environment, but do you have to go after supersized M&A? Or is it, "Hey, we're sticking to our M&A playbook," how do you think about it?
Jason Conley
executiveYes. We don't think about this like we're behind or we're ahead, like we try to think of things through a very long-term lens. I mean that's been our history, and that's going to be our go-forward view that we just -- we're a compounder by nature. We want -- investors are going to be with us for the long haul to stay with us and to compound. And so we just think about trying to buy the best businesses we can that fit our criteria in a market-leading -- in a niche market, high right to win in many respects, great free cash flow margin. So that's sort of our lens, and that's our discipline that we've had forever since I've been here, and that's what we'll continue to do. And so that's just -- in any market, right, we've actually had more success in more disruptive dislocated markets than we have when it's frothy, right? So if you look at 2016, we acquired Deltek, which was the largest deal we had ever done at the time. And then in that environment, the sort of the energy sector was whipsawing us around a bit. And then in 2020, obviously, we did our largest acquisition in Vertafore at the height of the pandemic. And so we see those periods as opportunity for us more so than a challenge...
Brent Thill
analystAnd when you think about sizing, you want to put roughly what, $4 billion to work a year in capital. Can you stretch that? Or are you saying, "Hey, we're staying true to that playbook?"
Jason Conley
executiveLook, it's all about we're going to generate $2 billion plus of free cash flow this year. Investment-grade leverage is always -- we want to be solid investment grade. So that's sort of our upper limit. But back to what I said in Deltek and Vertafore, we both stretched up 4.5, 5x and then had the commitment to our rating agencies to delever, and we would still have that commitment if we were to do that. So $4 billion sort of what we have in the next 12 months or so as we talked about in Q1, but it's really just about that sort of cash flow and investment-grade leverage that's our -- sort of our boundaries there.
Brent Thill
analystMaybe the baby elephant in the room is we got high rates. It's going to cost you more to borrow to get these deals done. The risk profile goes higher, many have asked, maybe that's why the stock is lagging because your return profile maybe hasn't been as good as in the past on deals. Can you address that?
Jason Conley
executiveYes. I mean I think -- well, first of all, I think our cost of capital is an advantage against private equity when we're looking at deals. So right now, our revolver is probably at 6%, whereas their cost of capital or cost of debt, it's at 13%. So we have an advantage there...
Brent Thill
analystAnd why is that?
Jason Conley
executiveWhy is that? Just because they run an LBO model. So we're investment grade. So our access to investment-grade markets allows us to have superior rates. Plus we're off the entire Roper balance sheet. We don't finance a deal individually like private equity does. So they have to -- inherently, they have more risk against each asset in their portfolio. So that's -- I think that's the big difference. And so -- and then if you think about like just sort of near-term dilution, I would -- if we see enough of a compelling value proposition as in a Procare, like the long-term value creation is so compelling there that I don't like the near-term dilution as a CFO, but I really like the long-term value creation that it can present in times of high rates and dislocation in the market.
Brent Thill
analystSo you don't -- it's not a win that you're -- it's not a crosswind, sidewind, headwind. It's just -- it's part of what you do.
Jason Conley
executiveYes, I think all things being equal, over a longer period of time, higher rates are better for us because we can compete because it's going to impact rates and that's going to impact asset prices, and we compete with private equity, and we have a superior cost of capital.
Brent Thill
analystI'm glad higher rates are helping you because they're not helping anyone else in this room right now.
Jason Conley
executiveI'm thinking over a long term.
Brent Thill
analystYes. Okay. And we're all still learning the mechanics of your business because I think as many in this room probably are new to the story. So sorry for the 101 questions. We'll get to 202 class here in a minute. The M&A environment, frothy are more reasonable?
Jason Conley
executiveI would say it's continuing to be more reasonable, definitely not frothy. It's just -- we had an 18-month to 2-year period of almost no activity. you have assets that have not traded. You have LPs that need distributions back, the DPI drumbeat is beating higher. You haven't seen a lot transact, but I would just tell you the sort of the leading indicators are high. Our conversations with bankers -- direct conversations with having the sponsors of we need to get distributions back to LPs. We need to do that so that we can raise a new fund. So there's just -- there's an air pocket of opportunity, we think, in the next -- I don't know how long it's going to last, 12 -- 6, 12, 18 months, but certainly seeing a lot more assets come into market than we have been since I've been with Roper.
Brent Thill
analystOkay. What do you think is happening on the PE side? Are the PEs -- how would you characterize -- I'm not asking for names, but just high level, how would you characterize -- are they trying to clean out to go to the next round? Or are they -- how would you characterize...
Jason Conley
executiveIt's really firm specific. I mean some have had some really good raises in the last couple of years. So they are fine. Others are in this period where they need to kind of return money back. So it really is kind of firm specific. So I couldn't give you like a broad brush, and I don't want to go into any specific firms, but you can see where capital raises have happened. But I mean, I think overall, it's okay. It's fine. It's not great. I would characterize it as -- that being the environment for PE right now.
Brent Thill
analystOkay. Another big question I get as we try to tell your story, which is a great story, but it's also complex, which is you own one stock, but you own 28 companies. So like they come to me and they're like, "Well, how do you do work in 28 companies." I'm like, "We can. "
Jason Conley
executiveYes.
Brent Thill
analystSo let's focus on the stars, like there's -- I know there's a lot -- you like all your children equally, but let's talk about the core stars in that 28. Who are the couple that you'd like to focus on? And maybe tell us a little bit more about what they do, why they're doing so well and what...
Jason Conley
executiveSure. Yes. I mean that's -- I think that's the benefit of owning Roper as you can own great companies that you otherwise couldn't invest in, in the public markets, right? And we provide -- in my opinion, we provide a place for them to grow over a long period of time, right? So -- and some of our bigger investors or those that are doing work on us, will sometimes do their own channel checks to get that. We can say everything we want, but that's -- the proof is in that. So -- but anyway, just getting into that, I think when you look across our portfolio, our Aderant business is doing exceptionally well there. Think of them as the ERP for large law firms. And it's a -- they've had a tremendous success over the past few years in terms of share gains. But additionally, the bolt-ons, and this is, again, back to why bolt-ons, we think could unlock more organic growth for us down the road, but just being able to sell point solutions in through their chassis and attach it to their ERP system, their LPM system has had -- has provided tremendous growth for them, whether it's through billing solutions, HR solutions, the like. So that cross-sell motion is really strong. And they've actually -- so they had sort of this jump ball situation with another competitor as their competitor wanted to move all their customers to the cloud. So there was kind of a time stamp on that. Well, since that date has passed, there's been a couple of good indications we might actually convert some of those that have committed to the cloud version of their customer solution. So anyway, just lots of momentum in that business. Just kind of pivoting over to one of our product businesses, a business called Verathon, so they basically provide 2 solutions. One is -- well, it's 3 solutions, but I'll talk about the bladder scan business, it basically allows any nurse practitioner to scan the content in your bladder. And it's a pretty mature, I'd say, product category, but we've had just a really tremendous product releases over the last 3 or 4 years that's allowed us to gain quite a bit of share. And again, it's a smaller part of Verathon, but something we don't talk about much, but they've done a great job on that side of the business. And then the other side is our visualization side of the business, which is our GlideScope product. So if you have to intubate a patient, open up the airway passage, we have -- we benefited tremendously in that through COVID. So we had this sort of spike in '20 and '21. The business came down for a while, but it's now a standard of care. So any time you intubate a patient, you're going to use a video monitor to enable that. And probably the most exciting part, and this is why Verathon has been a multiyear success story as they've invested in their product capability over time and have released a new bronchoscope product a few years ago that is quickly becoming one of the leaders in its category. So it's basically able to take the same -- it's using the same screen to look down into the lungs with a different, what's called a bronchoscope so not intubation. So just taking an intention of what they did and developing new products. So we feel really good about that business going from kind of low single-digit growth to now low double-digit growth for a sustainable period of time. There's new products in that chassis. So lots that -- I could probably talk about more businesses, but that's just a couple to name off.
Brent Thill
analystOne we get is -- you're in the water business. And so everyone is interested, like I think over 75% of your assets are vertically aligned SaaS, I believe.
Jason Conley
executiveYes.
Brent Thill
analystAnd then -- but the water asset, I don't believe, belongs there, correct? That's...
Jason Conley
executiveRight. So 75% software, 25% product. And of product, our Neptune business, which is a water meter business -- water meter and water meter technology, I should say, business is a big part of it.
Brent Thill
analystWaaS, water as a service?
Jason Conley
executiveWater as a service. I like it.
Brent Thill
analystYou heard it [ going ] here first.
Jason Conley
executiveWe do have software in that business, by the way, if you...
Brent Thill
analystThat's what we want to talk about -- so just -- I get a lot of questions, so I just want to make sure I understand it too. So walk us through quickly, Neptune, what it does, like what -- why it's so important?
Jason Conley
executiveYes. So we've owned Neptune for 21 years now. And what it is, it's what it sounds like. It's providing meter-reading technology for municipalities all across primarily North America. And it's basically a very understood market. There's 3 players in the market. We play in the sort of small-to-midsized municipality market, which is super attractive because we can understand the dynamic needs of different municipalities and really kind of adjust our product offering to go up and down the stack, depending on what they need. So that's what's, I think, differentiated Neptune over many years. The first inning of Neptune was all about automatic meter-reading technology, where instead of going -- having somebody go right to the meter and write it down, they could just drive through a neighborhood and pick up all the signals from the meter through our technology. Increasingly, it's now moved to fixed networks. So you're mounting things on different areas and not having to have anyone drive around. So that's been sort of the next advance. And now it's through cellular versus proprietary communication. So growing through a cellular sort of algorithm. And then lastly, I'd say, is now moving from mechanical meter, which degrades over time, you think about moving parts in a meter, to now moving to an ultrasonic solid-state meter. So that has been in the last 2 or 3 years, a big growth driver for Neptune. And so we like that direction of travel. Any time you have a new technology that's introduced, it's going to be 10, 15 years for that to roll out, and it's coming at a higher ASP. So we like the direction of travel for that business. It's really for us about -- like I said, it's a very understood market, but just introducing new technologies into that marketplace. And lastly, talking about software, they -- if you think about how is the municipality going to read all of the meter data and process that into a billing application. We have something called a meter data management solution, and that's the part of software we do today. We've had a move from on-prem to cloud over the last few years that's resulted in double-digit growth for that business. And the business actually has deferred revenue, which is pretty cool. So they've got deferred revenue through their cellular product offering, service offering and then through the meter data management solution. So we basically use that to fund their CapEx. That's how we think about it. Pretty cool.
Brent Thill
analystIs -- and the margin profile of that business?
Jason Conley
executiveIt's good. It's good, yes.
Brent Thill
analystYes. Great.
Jason Conley
executiveI mean the segment overall is like mid-30s EBITDA margin, right? So...
Brent Thill
analystWater, we got to have it.
Jason Conley
executiveYes.
Brent Thill
analystNo, that's great. All right, financial profile, high single-digit growth, organic, so okay?
Jason Conley
executiveSo mid-single-digit plus. Our ultimate goal is, again, because we're in these niches, we're never going to be a 15% grower, but if we're high single digit, we deploy the free cash flow, continue to buy businesses that grow faster than the fleet average, mid-teens free cash flow is sort of the ultimate destination. And Neil will say with -- the target to be high teens, but I was -- he and I have that debate all the time. But he's high teens, I'm mid-teens, but I'll take high teens if we can...
Brent Thill
analystAnd 40% plus margins, you feel like that's an altitude you can keep?
Jason Conley
executiveI do. I mean if you think about our margin profile, our gross margins, especially for software is 70%, 80%. So it still gives a lot of room left in the P&L to reinvest. And so -- but if we were to grow, let's say, 9% organic, those incremental margins might be in the 40s. If we're more at 7-ish percent, we'll probably be more like 45%. So that trade-off for higher organic growth we would make.
Brent Thill
analystSoftware is in the funk right now, Workday back office, funky; Salesforce front office, funky, something's going on, right? So is it too much cloud ware, if you will, we're digesting what we bought the pandemic, is AI taking away or higher rates or -- there's a bunch of different factors, we're like trying to piece it all together. So what -- if those companies are all seeing it, and there's been like 1 or 2 companies at this conference to say they're not seeing it, but everyone else is seeing it. What's your sense? Are your businesses in more stable, steady markets where you don't really feel the sensitivity of these -- what we're seeing in some of the others or...
Jason Conley
executiveI think that's right. I mean we typically have a narrow range of outcomes than some of these other companies you're listing. So and that -- we talked about last year on the enterprise software businesses have had a sort of a -- not a slowdown but just not an acceleration of bookings last year, if you look at our bookings -- enterprise software bookings, they were up maybe low single digits, '23 versus '22, and we expect it to be better this year, but we haven't seen like a budget flush or anything like that happened last year for some of these other businesses. It's been kind of steady as she goes for us. The one area we've talked about has been our Deltek business. So Deltek is our largest business, 60% of that is government contractor software. And a good portion of that is a large -- kind of large enterprise customers. And because of everything that's been going on with the deficit and just sort of debt ceilings, they've had a lot of belt-tightening there. And so we don't -- we haven't expected that to get better this year. If it does, it will be upside. But that's been probably the biggest weak spot in terms of CTOs not making decision on software.
Brent Thill
analystBest thing that we don't know about you guys that you see every day as you go to work that we can't small [ breathe ] here.
Jason Conley
executiveYes, that's a good question. I think -- and so I've been with the company a long time, and I think just the quality of the people that we are putting into the companies is just demonstrably better in the last 3 or 4 years than they were at any time in the past because we've increased the expectation level for our leaders in our business. And as a result of that, we expect them to deliver excellence. And so I think we're seeing -- it takes a long time to do that, right? You got to hire somebody, they've got to assess their team. They've got to work on processes, but I really like kind of what we like what we're seeing from that perspective. And we didn't -- we hired with a sort of a very intentional lens. We used a lot of profiling. We've used different hiring assessments to do this. So we've been very scientific in the type of leaders we want to bring on board. And I think you're just -- I can -- it's intangible for you, but it's very tangible for us in terms of the quality of the strategic plans, the sort of the rigor around the execution -- to execute against those plans. We see that in our planning cycle, and so I'm very encouraged by that.
Brent Thill
analystAwesome. Thank you, Jason, for coming. Appreciate your time.
Jason Conley
executiveThank you.
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