Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 18, 2023

New York Stock Exchange US Financials Financial Services conference_presentation 29 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#1

We are pleased to welcome Erik Hoag, CFO of FIS with us today. Erik, thanks so much for being here. Appreciate it.

Erik Hoag

executive
#2

Ramsey. Good morning. Thank you for having me.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#3

Give us a little bit kick it off here, give us a little view of sort of what you're seeing in terms of transaction trends most recently in your book? Or and even maybe what that be it in some commentary about the overall macro environment. What are you seeing out there?

Erik Hoag

executive
#4

Yes, sure. So maybe if I were to even take a step back to the start of the year. So on the acquiring side, we saw strong growth in January and February. It moderated a little bit during the month of March, April, very consistent with March and year-to-date [indiscernible] very consistent to the month of April. On the FIS side, global volume was 9% in the first quarter as well. So a really strong start to the year.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#5

Fantastic. And I wanted to drill down a little bit into that 9% volume growth in [indiscernible] merchant in the quarter, which was an impressive result. I just aggregate that a little bit in terms of the drivers. What's working in merchant, where is there -- what isn't -- help us think through how you kind of achieve that solid result?

Erik Hoag

executive
#6

Yes. So what's working in merchant? Great question. So in the first quarter, our merchant business grew roughly 2%. And if you break it down, the real bright spot in merchant during the first quarter for FIS was our e-commerce business. We had 15% organic revenue growth in the first quarter, 18% growth if you exclude the impact of Russian-Ukraine. Our global e-commerce business is performing well. It's grown double digits for the last several years. We guided 2023 to double digits as well. Underlying drivers to growth in e-commerce, we've got differentiated authorization rates. So we help enable our customers to drive their own P&Ls. I'd say, first and foremost. Number two, global reach, our global e-com business truly is global. And the one thing that FIS really did bring to the table associated with the FIS Worldpay acquisition was the global scale that FIS was able to help enable where we -- the banking business, the capital markets business, they operated in so many different geographies that we are able to quickly stand up and integrate our global e-commerce business into some additional geographies. So incremental geographies, differentiated authorization rates. And then in December of 2021, our e-commerce business, we acquired a company called Payrix, performed very well in '22, performing very well in 2023 as well. The e-commerce book, which is roughly [ 30% ] of the merchant portfolio at FIS, we've got an enterprise book, which is roughly 45% of the revenue within the segment. I think big box retail, grocery, pharmacy. This business in a steady-state environment should bump around at GDP. We're priced per transaction in the enterprise book. The business is performing well. Obviously, there's some macro factors here. The U.K. sits in our enterprise book as well. And then the SMB book, which is roughly 25% of the portfolio, e-com 30%, enterprise 45%, SMB 25%. We've got some structural challenges here. When we guided 2023 for the SMB book, we included roughly 300 basis points of headwind associated with some product gaps. We had a good first quarter. We outperformed that a bit. But one of the underlying catalysts for the spin of the Worldpay business was to help enable getting incremental product into the SMB book through organic investment and strategic M&A.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#7

In the SMB book or in the SMB business, what are the -- what is -- what parts of the value proposition are you lacking like? What is sort of more precise to say that the SMBs might be looking for now that you -- what's that gap you need to fill in order to...

Erik Hoag

executive
#8

Good question. So probably no surprise to anybody here, but COVID changed the acquiring landscape rather dramatically. The SMB book has historically been a card-present channel. So as COVID came through and then there was more curbside pickups or more order ahead needs. It was -- it really disenfranchised the SMB book that we had. So what we have done, the Payrix acquisition in December of '19 provides card-not-present capabilities down into the SMB subsegment, which is helping to address some of those gaps.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#9

And you already answered a significant part of this question, but maybe not fully in terms of e-com, the value proposition there that's allowing you to win, you mentioned authorization rates. What is it there that -- how do you differentiate yourself kind of from a competitive standpoint and in global e-com and couple of big high profile competitors. What's allowing you to win there? Is it just pure performance on the transaction? Or is there a technology overlay or tell me more about that business how...

Erik Hoag

executive
#10

I would really say, I would really come back and talk about just those 2 things I mentioned before, the global reach that it provides that we can follow customers as customers want to expand their own geographies were enabled in many of those geographies that they want to expand into. And then the second piece really is the authorization rates. So I mean, it's really all about enabling our customers, trying to drive more throughput for our customers and ensuring that they're capturing as many transactions as they can.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#11

The one thing that investors focus on for [ better for worse ] is the spread between volumes and revenue. Speak to the drivers of that delta and whether we should expect that to sort of widen before it tightens or how we should think about that as we move forward?

Erik Hoag

executive
#12

Sure. So the merchant business for FIS had a yield of minus 7% in the first quarter. Organic revenue growth of 2%, global volume growth of 9%, so a yield of minus 7%. I'd say maybe a couple of things about yield in the first quarter. Number one, the consumer was strong. We saw a lot of revenue that came through -- a lot of volume that came through, excuse me, a lot of volume that came through our enterprise channel. So think about -- I mentioned nondiscretionary spend. Nondiscretionary spend where we're priced per transaction. So volume, less revenue. We also have a headwind associated with Russia-Ukraine, a very rich -- the e-com book, very rich yields, a headwind in the first quarter associated with Russia and Ukraine. As we move through the cadence of the year, I would expect our yields to -- our yields to narrow.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#13

Just as those factors sort of Anniversary of Russia that...

Erik Hoag

executive
#14

Anniversary of Russia, we've got the U.K. as well as we start to normalize off the U.K. from last year as well. I think those are 2 predominant drivers associated with yields.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#15

And one last question on merchant. U.K. is another place where you guys are doing business is obviously a lot of macro headwinds there. Give us just a little bit of an update on the U.K. merchant business.

Erik Hoag

executive
#16

Not a whole lot of change associated with the U.K. merchant business quarter-over-quarter, fourth quarter to the first quarter as we head into the second quarter. The good thing, as I just mentioned, is the yields will moderate a little bit that provide us a little bit more comfort associated with revenue and volume.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#17

Are you seeing a little more macro stability in the U.K.? Or is it hard to pin down?

Erik Hoag

executive
#18

I would say that moving into the second quarter from the first quarter, there hasn't been much change...

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#19

No much change, okay. On the banking and capital markets, I've been covering this company for quite some time. And I remember the old days on the earnings calls, you would often hear a lot of questions about the bank IT spending environment. On the other hand, there's a kind of an understanding that some of these businesses are pretty defensive and resilient when it comes to the cycle -- the economic cycle. So I guess the question is, with that preface bank IT spending environment. First, that's a kind of a technical question. What are you seeing out there? And second is, how important is that? Do you guys really see that those budgets tighten and loosen, does that have a big impact on the kind of keep your lights on type services that you guys are providing, too many questions that.

Erik Hoag

executive
#20

No, good questions. So the bank IT spend, I would say that there hasn't been any change quarter-over-quarter, particularly coming out of -- I'd hate to call it a bank crisis in the month of March, but sort of the volatility with regional banks in the month of March. From a sales perspective, I might even step all the way back and say, in the middle of 2022, we've changed our sales contract to be a little bit more quality focused as opposed to quantity focus from a sales perspective. So we're focusing back on core IT spend, mission-critical software associated with the core, ledgering systems associated with the banking side, ledgering systems associated with the capital market side. And what that has done is -- what that will do is driving higher incremental contribution margins, a refocus back to what you're probably familiar with over the years, which is core sales, the ancillaries that come surrounding the core sales, higher contribution margins. And -- to your specific question associated with IT spend, we haven't seen much change.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#21

Interesting. I'd like to drill down a little bit on the shift in strategy in terms of the sales strategy, I think you called out sort of pursuing more sort of high-profit deals, unpack that a little bit for us. You just mentioned emphasizing kind of core products. Is there -- does this mean more profitable products? Is it -- are the contracts structured differently? Like what exactly is shifting in terms of what you were presenting, where you're going after then versus now?

Erik Hoag

executive
#22

Yes. So over the last several years, Ramsey, so if we go back to 2019, so one of -- on the backside of the Worldpay acquisition, we had talked about a pivot growth, and we've been rewarded for growth. And between '20 and 2021, there was really a shift towards the quantum of sales transactions, volume of TCV driving growth. What we found is that some of those solutions that we were selling were just had lower contribution margins. So lower contribution margins, which forces us to do other things in the operating -- other parts of the organization to drive -- try to drive enterprise-wide operating margins. So what we've done in the back half of 2022, and what we've done here in the first part of 2023 is recalibrate the sales organization, recalibrate our commissioning structure, recalibrating our quota allocation processes to focus more on longer-term SaaS-driven product sales. So the longer-term SaaS-driven long contracts, wide competitive moats where we can drive higher incremental contribution margins, helping drive total company operating margins. As opposed to what we had been doing, which was -- and you're seeing in our financials today, which is there had been growth, but also dilutive in nature as well. So we're trying to get back to the roots of what FIS was, which was software led sales, high incremental contribution margins, high levels of cash generation, which all ultimately drives shareholder return.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#23

And how difficult is the process to make that transition, which I guess is another way of asking, is there sort of an air pocket as you pivot to these new deals start new sales cycles, get those to fruition. There's a little bit of a gap there. How should we think about -- or maybe that's not the case, how should we think about that in terms of magnitude and duration.

Erik Hoag

executive
#24

Yes. So as I think about the banking business from a -- almost if I were to step back and talk about the growth algorithm itself, right? There's an organic element of the banking business where we've got same-store sales growth, a number of the deposit accounts that are out of financial institutions, a number of transactions that are running across our nice network. We have got net new sales. So we've got the sales element that you're talking about. There is a conversion underway to move from lower contribution margin to higher contribution margin. But there's also energy being put associated with the attrition stack, right? So if you think about same-store sales, organic growth. Net sales, which is new sales minus customer attrition and then net pricing. There's an opportunity for us to ensure that we're getting the most out of our price, offsetting with compression as well. So there's a couple of ingredients to the growth algorithm that sales is one of them, but it's not the only one.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#25

Interesting. Capital markets, from my perspective, is always probably the least well understood segment in terms of investors. Do this -- I just confused sort of what the growth algorithm is in capital markets. What should we be thinking about as driving growth there?

Erik Hoag

executive
#26

Yes. So the banking and capital markets businesses are becoming more and more similar every day. So when we acquired the SunGard business in 2015, this was a license-based organization. Today, it is a SaaS-driven organization. And it's not product sales, it's solution bundles as well, long-term -- longer-term contracts, price escalators, very sticky product sales. Over the last several years, we've held license revenue flat. So the growth that we're seeing in capital markets is all recurring in nature. So it's high incremental contribution margins. This is a business with very rich operating margins. They're leaning heavily into a focus around high incremental contribution margin sales and the predominant growth algorithm is just that. It's more recurring, less onetime revenue, and we'll continue to wean off that license dependency over the next several years. Recurring revenue in capital markets is roughly 72% or 73%; in banking, it's 83% or 84%. So we've got a little bit of runway until the business catches up with the banking business, but we feel great about what's going on in the capital markets business, performance has been very strong over the last several years, and I'm excited about what it can continue to become.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#27

Are there any external exogenous factors that drive that business, if we see periods of extreme market volatility or have increased any type of external activity, is there any correlation in terms of where there could be a tailwind or headwind for the business? Or is it sort of more -- again, like the rest of your business kind of keep the lights on a steady state, license per seat type of thing.

Erik Hoag

executive
#28

Ramsey, we are moving more towards the banking-like environment. We -- in the first quarter, admittedly. So I mean a little bit of a couple of stats from the capital markets business for those of you who might not follow the story. 7% organic revenue growth in the first quarter. Recurring revenue growth in the first quarter was 11%. The 11% to your point, slightly overstated because we had some market volatility in that -- in the month of March associated with what was going on in the banking macro. But more and more, it is recurring in nature and less volatility associated with trading or other drivers like AUA or AUM.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#29

And I'm going to ask this one earlier. In terms of the overall turmoil on the banking system, it's evident that it didn't have any kind of acute impact on the business. Is there any longer duration kind of impacts folks should be thinking about maybe bank consolidation or other types of impacts that may or may not materialize from the banking crisis or is it a [indiscernible]?

Erik Hoag

executive
#30

Yes. So maybe a little bit of background for those in the room on the banking business and who we serve. FIS really tailors upmarket towards larger financial institutions. As banking consolidation occurs, we believe there were been factors there because it's the larger regionals that should be the acquirers, the acquires -- so we think we're positioned very nicely associated with the FI market itself. And then very specifically, during the month of March, we saw an increase in new account openings, new deposit account openings. So as customers were trying to get under the FDIC limits, we saw new account openings and once the new account is opened you see all the ancillaries, right? You have the new deposit accounts and then you've got the new deposit, the debit card, the credit card, the prepaid card, the NICE network and the other ancillaries to come with opening a new account. So we saw an acceleration in the month of March. The banking business outperformed our guide in the first quarter in part due to incremental accounts on the banking side during that tail end of the quarter.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#31

And you're not really indexed to kind of deposit flows at the end of the day, the sort of maybe savings account type flows is not really something that is -- that people keep an eye on this, there's just a narrative of deposits leading sort of small and regional banks and going to sort of larger banks. Now you guys index a little higher than some of your competitors in terms of the asset side of the institution. So maybe that's first...

Erik Hoag

executive
#32

You do index a little bit higher, but the predominant driver for us for revenue is the number of accounts, not the value of the deposit.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#33

Right. Okay. I want to move on to the proposed merchant spend. Maybe take a step back and again help us think through the rationale of that decision to basically [ half ] off that business.

Erik Hoag

executive
#34

Sure. So the merchant spend almost -- I'm going to bring the conversation back to the SMB discussion that we had a little bit ago. In the 2023 guide, we included roughly 300 basis points of merchant headwind associated with product gaps. For really thrive, it needs to be fed with some incremental product injections, whether it's organic investments or strategic M&A, the spin rationale is really dependent upon the capital structures of both organizations. Worldpay, think, high yield, think more M&A on the RemainCo side think compounder investment grade, lower leverage levels, capital allocation philosophy is really associated with growing our dividend, share repurchase, potentially some tuck-in M&A. But the predominant driver here, Ramsey, is unlocking merchant to be able to go out and drive incremental product into their portfolio.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#35

How should we think through the sort of distribution of debt or leverage in terms of the RemainCo and the SpinCo. One question I often get is if the SpinCo comes out with some leverage on it, will that make it more difficult to execute on the strategy?

Erik Hoag

executive
#36

Working through it right now. I would hope that with our second quarter call, we were able to talk more fulsomely about dissynergies as well and leverage levels. But broadly speaking, when I think about the 2 companies, it's -- it's back to the comments that I just made, which is Worldpay, high yield, higher leverage, more focused on product investment, either organic or inorganic. And then on the RemainCo side, lower leverage, investment grade, different capital allocation philosophy.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#37

Okay. You mentioned dissynergies. I know that you guys have called out things like commercial agreements to manage revenue dissynergies. Is that relatively simple? Do you just basically say we continue operating kind of as it is and go a longer-term agreement to protect those...

Erik Hoag

executive
#38

That's the intent.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#39

That's the intent.

Erik Hoag

executive
#40

That's the intent. So as you think about synergies and dissynergies from Worldpay, I may break this up into 3 individual discussion points. On the revenue side, we had talked about roughly $750 million worth of synergies, and think about this as unlocking sales channels. This is selling the loyalty premium payback product that sits in our banking segment to retailers. This is selling our corporate treasury offerings in capital markets to the corporates that we have in merchant. This is selling, acquiring through our banking and capital markets channels through the financial institutions. We believe that commercial agreements can solve that. And the relationship between Stephanie Ferris and Charles Drucker, which is very strong, I think, will help harden that and ensure that the commercial agreements are successful. On the cost side, we had talked about roughly $900 million worth of synergies, really split between $500 million of OpEx synergies and $400 million worth of below-the-line synergies. So on the below-the-line items, we're going to reconstitute a new balance sheet, new capital structure for Worldpay, which will take care of that. And then the $500 million worth of operating expense synergies, and I know you didn't ask about the OpEx synergies. I would think about this as, again, a lot of work underway. We've got operating expense synergies within the business, and then we've got operating expense synergies that happen on the corporate side. And Charles right now is working on building out as organizational team. We're working on the entanglements associated with pulling these 2 organizations apart. A lot of focus associated with it right now on the OpEx side.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#41

Can you leverage or are you leveraging the sort of future forward program to make some of the changes that we're talking about here? Or should we think about that as kind of technically sort of separate, I guess, maybe you can...

Erik Hoag

executive
#42

I think it's a good question. So future forward it is the initiative that FIS is running associated with driving incremental cash improvements. The program itself includes initiatives associated with OpEx savings. It includes programs associated with CapEx savings that includes winding down some of the modernization programs that had been sitting in our non-GAAP add back line. So it's really around driving cash. And we've had a lot of success. So I'm going to deviate and talk about this, 4 minutes, so as we ended the first quarter -- so future forward broadly, we expect it to be at roughly $600 million at the end of 2023. We ended the first quarter with roughly $200 million worth of CapEx savings, roughly $100 million worth of operating expense run rate savings exceeding the first quarter really off to a good start with future forward. The initiative itself, it's really taken root within the organization, like a cultural change associated with trying to drive incremental cash across the organization. So as we think about operating expense dissynergies through the split, we're obviously going to lean hard into what can we incrementally do with future forward to help mitigate some of those dissynergies.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#43

How should -- I might be early to ask this question, but post spin, how should we think about the sort of balance sheet strategy or the capital deployment strategy of the FIS the RemainCo? Is it the type of thing where you'll be kind of staying within the lanes that you're in right now in terms of banking and capital markets. How should we think about M&A versus return of cash to shareholders and the RemainCo putting merchant...

Erik Hoag

executive
#44

Yes. So RemainCo capital strategy -- capital allocation philosophy, we want to remain investment grade. We want to invest in the organization in our product suite. So there's organic and inorganic. But clearly, a bend towards organic investment. We want to continue to grow the dividend. So we've got a 35% payout ratio today. We continue -- I continue to expect a 35% payout ratio tomorrow and then share repurchase. So the spin itself will afford the ability for us to get back towards our target leverage ratio faster of 2.8. We're currently sitting at 3.2. And then from there, it's dividend growth, share repurchase and potentially some tuck-in M&A.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#45

Okay. And I'm going to ask you this to you, timing, any latest thoughts on timing of the spin?

Erik Hoag

executive
#46

A lot of parts to the spin from carve-out financials of Form 10, a PLR, identifying the disentanglement associated with pulling the 2 organizations together. We're tracking. With our fourth quarter call in February, we said within a year, we're tracking to the time line we initially discussed.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#47

Okay. FedNow launching reportedly in July. What do you think about that product, that solution? Is it something that's going to have an impact? Maybe answer that in 2 ways for you guys, in particular, but more broadly, do you think it's something that we'll see wide spread adoption or what was...

Erik Hoag

executive
#48

I think too soon to tell. I'll tell you that FIS, we've got some customers signed up in pilot. So we're moving forward. But right now, I think it's too soon to tell whether it's going to have a meaningful impact on us.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#49

Do you see the prior launch and rollout of the clearinghouse real-time payments is sort of a proxy for the level of interest in that ecosystem? Or is this -- is FedNow like a significantly different capability...

Erik Hoag

executive
#50

I'm not sure, Ramsey.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#51

Okay. All right. It's kind of a loaded question. I actually -- I actually think it is. And then really, lastly, I also just wanted to get you a quick read on just more broadly that -- what you're seeing kind of the regulatory environment in the markets that you operate? Are you seeing any increased activity? Do you see any kind of potential regulatory-driven catalyst? One item, for example, is the Reg II and the addition of debit card route, the new debit card option or network option to online debit transactions. There's a lot in that question, but regulatory environment, tactically, strategically...

Erik Hoag

executive
#52

Yes. And I want to answer it very broadly. Regulatory changes at FIS, regulatory changes broadly are benefit for FIS. We operate predominantly an outsourced environment for our customers on the banking side and on the capital market side. So whether it was IFRS 17 or the PPP program or COVID or PEBT, what we have found is it's an opportunity for us to help our customers. If regulators were to reevaluate FDIC limits, we think it's an opportunity for us to help our customers. We have found over the years, it's an opportunity to not just help our customers, but it winds up manifesting itself in our P&L as well.

Ramsey El-Assal

analyst
#53

Fantastic. Great conversation. Appreciate you being here. Thanks so much for joining us.

Erik Hoag

executive
#54

Thanks for having me.

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